Predicting the outcome of psilocybin treatment for depression from baseline fMRI functional connectivity

This machine learning study (n=16) examines baseline resting-state functional connectivity (FC) measured with fMRI as a predictor of symptom severity in psilocybin-assisted therapy for treatment-resistant depression (TRD). Results show that FC of visual, default mode, and executive networks predicted early symptom improvement, with the salience network predicting responders up to 24 weeks after treatment.

Abstract of Predicting the outcome of psilocybin treatment for depression from baseline fMRI functional connectivity

Background: Psilocybin is a serotonergic psychedelic drug under assessment as a potential therapy for treatment-resistant and major depression. Heterogeneous treatment responses raise interest in predicting the outcome from baseline data.

Methods: A machine learning pipeline was implemented to investigate baseline resting-state functional connectivity measured with functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) as a predictor of symptom severity in psilocybin monotherapy for treatment-resistant depression (16 patients administered two 5 mg capsules followed by 25 mg, separated by one week). Generalizability was tested in a sample of 22 patients who participated in a psilocybin vs. escitalopram trial for moderate-to-severe major depression (two separate doses of 25 mg of psilocybin 3 weeks apart plus 6 weeks of daily placebo vs. two separate doses of 1 mg of psilocybin 3 weeks apart plus 6 weeks of daily oral escitalopram). The analysis was repeated using both samples combined.

Results: Functional connectivity of visual, default mode and executive networks predicted early symptom improvement, while the salience network predicted responders up to 24 weeks after treatment (accuracy≈0.9). Generalization performance was borderline significant. Consistent results were obtained from the combined sample analysis. Fronto-occipital and fronto-temporal coupling predicted early and late symptom reduction, respectively.

Limitations: The number of participants and differences between the two datasets limit the generalizability of the findings, while the lack of a placebo arm limits their specificity.

Conclusions: Baseline neurophysiological measurements can predict the outcome of psilocybin treatment for depression. Future research based on larger datasets should strive to assess the generalizability of these predictions.”

Authors: Débora Copa, David Erritzoe, Bruna Giribaldi, David J. Nutt, Robin L. Carhart-Harris & Enzo Tagliazucchi

Summary of Predicting the outcome of psilocybin treatment for depression from baseline fMRI functional connectivity

Depression is a mood disorder that can be triggered by environmental factors in interaction with underlying susceptibilities. Major depressive disorder can be diagnosed if at least five symptoms of depression are present for two or more weeks.

Patients with treatment-resistant depressive disorder (TRD) may benefit from electroconvulsive therapy, repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation, vagus nerve stimulation, and novel pharmacological treatments.

Psilocybin, a classic psychedelic drug, is considered one of the most promising novel treatments for transient recurrent depression (TRD). It is at least as effective for the treatment of depression as escitalopram, with possible superiority in many domains.

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Predicting the outcome of psilocybin treatment for depression from baseline fMRI functional connectivity

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jad.2024.02.089

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Cite this paper (APA)

Copa, D., Erritzoe, D., Giribaldi, B., Nutt, D., Carhart-Harris, R., & Tagliazucchi, E. (2024). Predicting the outcome of psilocybin treatment for depression from baseline fMRI functional connectivity. Journal of Affective Disorders.

Study details

Compounds studied
Psilocybin

Topics studied
Treatment-Resistant Depression Depression

Study characteristics
Original Re-analysis Open-Label Longitudinal

Participants
38 Humans

Institutes

Institutes associated with this publication

University of Buenos Aires
UBA is home to the Consciousness, Culture and Complexity & Phalaris Labs. Both labs are led by Enzo Tagliazucchi

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